Historic Volatility

As an intra day trader, you have to keep an eye out for the volatility index.

A lot of people always think about the VIX as fear which is actually a skewed definition, though technically correct. The actual effect of the VIX is on the trading range for the day.

This is commonly referred to as the ATR or the average trading range.

Take a look :

Historicalvolatility2Bnif Historic Volatility

I have smoothed the ATR with a 20 point moving average to give approximate values.

The chart of the Nifty projects an average trading range of 111 at current prices.This is way up from the 60 since last September.

There is additional movement to negotiate for the intra day player and he has to be careful in setting his stops and targets, as what worked for him maybe in sept may not work for him today.

Historicalvolatility2Bbn Historic Volatility

The Bank Nifty’s ATR is at 289 up from the 160 in sept last year.

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