OrderFlow charts and Notes 02/01/15

Bnf_Of_10 Bnf_Vol_At_Price_1 Nf_Of_10 Nf_Vol_At_Price_1

 

 

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General Chat Transcript

 

Room Name: Vtrender
Date and Time: January 02, 2015 09:22:40[08:52]   r m : Good Morning folks!
[08:53]   r m : http://vtrender.com/levels-and-plan-for-020115/
[08:53]   r m : http://vtrender.com/premium/orderflow-charts-and-notes-0101/
[08:53]   Porus : GM all
[08:53]   r m : NF Hypo1 below 8336➜8313➜8285 SL8357 Hypo2 above 8358➜8381➜8423 SL 8337 JAN Future levels
[08:53]   r m : BNF Hypo1 above 18870➜18930➜19030 SL 18835 Hypo2 below 18830➜18790➜18720 SL 18884 JAN Future levels
[09:08]   Keshav : morning all
[09:12]   Rahul G : Gm all
[09:13]   Sharad : GM all
[09:19]   r m : NF at hypo1 target 1 in 4 minutes!
[09:20]   Rav : bnf footprint is having some blocks
[09:33]   r m : bnf at target2
[09:39]   r m : nf close to target2
[09:40]   r m : nf at target2
[09:44]   r m : NF Jan hourly http://screencast.com/t/phbfmmT0
[09:44]   r m : 8439 next
[09:50]   Rav : 8000-8300 PE Magic
[09:51]   Keshav : now i am beginning to understand a bit
[09:51]   Keshav : here
[09:53]   Keshav : today the oi change graph is totally inverted is
[09:53]   r m : @Rav 🙂
[09:54]   Rav : sc for ce writers
[09:54]   Keshav : and for pes?
[09:55]   Rav : 40-50% profit for pe writers
[09:55]   r m : @Rav, you spotted it very well and quite early, that 8320 spot came quickly!
[09:56]   Rav : today, I did not take nf and bnf to be frank bur booked positions
[09:56]   Rav : but
[09:56]   r m : ok
[09:57]   Keshav : http://imgur.com/fGLK4JQ
[09:57]   r m : spot near previous peaks http://screencast.com/t/E7XiktnF8M
[09:57]   Keshav : update on price channel
[09:58]   Keshav : break above the channel is a bullish scenario
[09:58]   Rav : now huge shortcovering may set in
[09:59]   r m : Thanks Keshav, which data vendor you are using?
[09:59]   Keshav : then we could count on this swing for some more points on the upside
[09:59]   Keshav : its called shareking
[10:00]   Keshav : but data is slow
[10:00]   r m : ok
[10:02]   Rav : bnf is likely to to hot 19225 as sc set in
[10:06]   r m : BN is at ATH again, it happens regularly with BN, it has more faith in Modi then Rajan 😀
[10:09]   Rav : most of the heavy weight stocks option PCR is violating
[10:09]   Keshav : @rav but the option pain for both nifty and bank nifty below its current trading price
[10:10]   Keshav : does it offer any learning when combined with OI
[10:12]   Keshav : i guess today the volumes came back
[10:12]   Rav : ITC RIL not moving but banks comp hdfcbank,sbi,axis,icici crossed pcr limit .
[10:14]   Rav : bnf adx is 70
[10:26]   Keshav : http://imgur.com/zluC2Q3
[10:26]   Keshav : this is how bnf is shaping out
[10:27]   Keshav : we are yet to see a retracement back to vwap
[10:28]   Keshav : so strong ride till now
[10:28]   r m : Thanks Keshav
[10:28]   r m : IB is big, so chances of a retreat to vwap for NF
[10:30]   Keshav : hmm
[10:35]   Rav : bnf adx at 75 !!
[10:35]   Keshav : which time frame??
[10:40]   Rav : 5 min
[10:53]   Shai : GM all
[10:54]   r m : GM Shai, Happy New Year 🙂
[10:54]   Porus : Welcome back Shai
[10:54]   Shai : Wish you all a happy new year 2015
[10:54]   Shai : GM Rm- Thanks
[10:54]   Keshav : wish you the same shai
[10:54]   Shai : Thanks Porus
[10:55]   Shai : fantastic move today in NF and BNF
[10:55]   Shai : open drive off a multi day balance zone
[10:55]   Shai : would have caught many by surprise
[10:55]   r m : yeah, like a pressure cooker lid blowing off!
[10:58]   Rahul G : gm shai
[10:58]   Shai : GM Rahul
[11:02]   Shai : BNF may have a bit more steam left in t for 19240- 19278 by close
[11:02]   Shai : sl is 19150 last low , but vwap is better
[11:03]   Rahul G : shai but the delta in NF is -ve and in BN not too great
[11:03]   Shai : Morning NF longs have gone off in NF
[11:04]   Shai : But BNF still holding
[11:04]   Shai : hence mentioned BNF only
[11:05]   RK : Hi Shai GM, Welcome back and Happy New year :)) # assortz here sacrified alias name 🙂
[11:05]   RK : Hi RM and all good morning 🙂
[11:05]   Keshav : morning rk
[11:05]   Shai : GM RK- thanks and wish you more of the same
[11:06]   r m : Hi RK 🙂
[11:07]   RK : RM what a move today..was expecting another low volume boring day:)
[11:08]   r m : 2nd Jan funds are back with a bang usually!
[11:08]   Shai : vol is laready better than yesterday
[11:13]   Shai : 8426- 8435 supp band now in NF
[11:14]   Shai : as long as we stay above that a small possibility that we now close the weeek at highs
[11:14]   Shai : possibly at 8498F
[11:14]   Keshav : hmm
[11:14]   Shai : looking at 19280 closing in BNF
[11:15]   Keshav : @shai what if we go to vwap? even then a upmove is possible givn the morning stregnth right?
[11:18]   Shai : yes
[11:18]   Shai : an Open drive led by buyers will look to defend vwap
[11:18]   Shai : but pace of the move up drops below IBH
[11:19]   Keshav : oh. sounds logical. new learning
[11:19]   Shai : the move led by BN
[11:20]   Shai : could be to do with the meet in Pune on banking
[11:20]   Keshav : hmm
[11:27]   Shai : short term intra focus 19155 ad 8432 IBH
[11:28]   Shai : looks like buyers not interested to pursue the move further up though , but not enough sellers here
[11:28]   Keshav : hmm
[11:28]   Shai : so we may grind in a P till 1-30 to 2now
[11:29]   Shai : “Short Term : (On spot prices)The Nifty has managed to stay above the longer time frame supply at 7920- 7940 spot. This region is also now new support over the short term. Over the coming week resistance likely to build at 8351- 8399 spot . Support would be at 8125 during the week. ”
[11:30]   Amit J : welcome
[11:30]   Shai : 8147 low and 8380 res nowon spot
[11:30]   Shai : Thanks Amit
[11:31]   Shai : move is to 8448 spot if we scale up
[11:32]   Shai : in line with the 8498 F spoken of earlier
[11:43]   Shai : call writers closing positions
[12:13]   Shai : http://screencast.com/t/pGxEHewxwCc
[12:18]   Shai : That move to 8456 met with immediate sellers
[12:26]   Shai : looks good tp close now at 8498 F
[12:26]   Shai : 19278 BNF still a tgt
[12:26]   Shai : 19155 holding from 11
[12:27]   Shai : (11:13) Shai :8426- 8435 supp band now in NF. (11:14) Shai :possibly at 8498F
[12:27]   Shai : (11:14) Shai :looking at 19280 closing in BNF
[12:34]   Shai : 8399 spot is vwap of Nov
[12:35]   Shai : all clear abv 8399 for an immediate run to 8448 spot
[12:46]   Shai : trend day playing out now and both indices in sync
[12:46]   Shai : abv IBH that is
[12:47]   Shai : 8399 SPOT
[12:51]   Shai : trend day dip should come between now and 1.40
[12:52]   Shai : that will be the final buy for a close at the highs later today
[12:52]   Porus : Shai, roughly how far does the dip go?
[12:53]   Shai : about twice the max drop of the day
[12:53]   Shai : it’s been only 8 points of dips from 11
[12:53]   Shai : and 15 is max
[12:54]   Shai : so should not be more than 32 points from 8462
[12:54]   Porus : ok
[12:54]   Shai : that will still keep IBH and vwap intact
[12:54]   Shai : and is a buy opp with a good r/r
[12:55]   Shai : on the medium term play – NOv was an uptrending month and dec a down trending one
[12:56]   Shai : vwap of nov is 8399 and that of dec was at 8321 spot
[12:56]   Shai : so abv 8399 spot all buyers bcak in firm control
[12:58]   Porus : Shai, is a dip expected in bnf too?
[13:07]   Rav : 8400pe writing is on
[13:07]   Rav : Max pain shifted to 8400 from 8300
[13:07]   Keshav : yes. good nos
[13:10]   Rahul N : @shai.. i have long position in yes bank futures form 747, where should i book?
[13:10]   Shai : BNF looks more stable from open
[13:10]   Shai : good delta in BNF
[13:11]   Shai : Porus yes, but not a short opp
[13:11]   Shai : don’t short on trend days
[13:11]   Keshav : @rav my option oracle points at 8300
[13:13]   Shai : Rahul good trade
[13:13]   Rahul N : tnx
[13:13]   Shai : 794 F is the price objective of the weekly chart
[13:13]   Shai : met now
[13:14]   Shai : consider booking profits
[13:14]   Rahul N : thanks i am placing an order now …
[13:15]   Rahul N : also i have bank of india futures long from 297..
[13:15]   Rahul N : book here?
[13:17]   Shai : yes bankindia too 1st obj 34.5- 316
[13:17]   Shai : can book
[13:17]   Rahul N : thanks and welcome bavk and happy new year!!
[13:18]   Rav : OO takes right from 7000-10000 pc but xl takes near ATM,ITM PC
[13:18]   Shai : Thanks Rahul- wish you a happy 2015 too
[13:18]   Keshav : okay
[13:20]   B N : rrm sir – positional at 18890 got booked at 19250 – thank u sir
[13:22]   Keshav : @ bn one good trade
[13:25]   r m : @B N sir, Congrats on triple century!
[13:25]   Shai : Nice one
[13:28]   r m : @Keshav, did you read “One good trade”?
[13:28]   Keshav : just added to my library
[13:28]   Keshav : is it good rm?
[13:29]   r m : yeah
[13:29]   Keshav : i am looking for something psychological. no advise rather experiences a trader goes through
[13:29]   r m : most of the trading book are that only
[13:30]   r m : no trader tells his trading strategy in a book 🙂
[13:30]   Keshav : yes, reminiscences of a stock operator was an excellent read
[13:31]   Keshav : would love to pick up something like that
[13:31]   Rav : http://www.screencast.com/users/Ravicbe/folders/Jing
[13:32]   Rav : i am yet to book nf and bnf
[13:32]   Rav : kesav option pain eenclosed
[13:33]   Keshav : @rav link not working
[13:33]   r m : RK sent me a series some time (a couple of years maybe) back a series of interviews by Jack Schwager – Market Wizards, very interesting
[13:34]   Keshav : is that a book or a documentary?
[13:34]   r m : book
[13:34]   r m : 3 or 4 parts
[13:34]   Keshav : oh
[13:34]   Keshav : will check it for sure. thanks
[13:34]   r m : interviews with top traders
[13:35]   Keshav : hmm
[13:36]   Shai : 1.40 almost and no pull back today
[13:36]   r m : one was a currency trader who had screens installed in every room, bathroom, passage of his home 🙂
[13:37]   Porus : bnf 19278 target reached
[13:37]   Keshav : yes
[13:37]   B N : (12:26) Shai :19278 BNF still a tgt
[13:37]   B N : shai sir – i sold at 277
[13:37]   Keshav : @rm i dont want to end up like that
[13:37]   B N : will try for a few
[13:38]   r m : @Keshav lol
[13:38]   Keshav : but high rise office and penthouse with no electronics would do for me
[13:39]   Keshav : i found currency trading to be the most challenging. no true volumes
[13:40]   Keshav : currency spot
[13:40]   r m : volumes are global in currency and commodities, exchange volumes don’t matter
[13:41]   r m : big currency traders monitor global economic & political news
[13:41]   Keshav : currency spot is over the counter .
[13:41]   Keshav : no exchange involved
[13:42]   r m : its price is determined by global currency markets, not by the OTC buyer or seller, that is what I mean
[13:42]   Keshav : okay
[13:42]   Keshav : yes thats true
[13:45]   Shai : 19278: (11:02) Shai :BNF may have a bit more steam left in t for 19240- 19278 by close
[13:45]   Shai : NF still behid
[13:49]   B N : shai sir – chart say that a dip to 220/200 is on before eod?
[13:50]   B N : i sold 277 with sl at 350
[13:50]   Shai : has not dipped more than 30 points since 10.30
[13:51]   Shai : max can be 60 in that case
[13:51]   B N : ok
[13:51]   Shai : RM what will be MO now?
[13:51]   B N : so book at 220
[13:51]   r m : will check
[13:52]   r m : 70
[13:52]   Shai : 19344 and 8510 could be MOn open targets or even 1st session
[13:52]   Shai : Thanks RM
[13:53]   r m : adv/dec 1146/287, dec volumes 9%
[13:53]   r m : welcom
[13:58]   B N : 278-30 = 248 / shai sir first obstacle cleared – now 30 more to 218
[14:00]   Amit J : shai your view on idbi?
[14:00]   B N : and 30 more will get 188 to IBH
[14:00]   Rav : How to know subscription renewal due date. Will I get mail?
[14:01]   Keshav : pls mail me too
[14:02]   Shai : idbi volumes are good
[14:02]   Shai : could be the much awaited breakout
[14:02]   Shai : tgt could be 86 if the move sustains on MOn
[14:03]   Shai : sl below 74 in that case
[14:03]   Rav : Shais T will reach today itself
[14:03]   Shai : Yes Ravi you will get a notification when due
[14:04]   Rav : Thanks
[14:04]   Keshav : @shai candle looks good on weekly too
[14:04]   Keshav : IDBI
[14:04]   Shai : yes
[14:05]   Keshav : take yesterdays vwap as sl??
[14:06]   Amit J : also your view on dhanlaxmi bank sir. its a multi multi bagger
[14:21]   B N : (13:58) B N:278-30 = 248 / shai sir first obstacle cleared – now 30 more to 218
[14:21]   B N : sir i am kept the buy order in system
[14:21]   B N : 218
[14:22]   B N : executed – thnxs shai sir
[14:22]   Keshav : nice BN
[14:23]   Keshav : i really wonder the time frame of your charts
[14:25]   B N : but a touch to 188 will be nicer
[14:29]   B N : rm sir 188 hitted
[14:30]   r m : @B N, Sir, thou are the greatest!
[14:31]   B N : (13:50) Shai :has not dipped more than 30 points since 10.30
[14:31]   B N : i am counting in multiple of 30 from 278 – so first 248/218/188 – all three coming – shai sir’s levels
[14:32]   r m : looks like someone else is counting too – 14:25:53 19198.85 10050 (402 lots)
[14:33]   B N : sold or bought – can it be known?
[14:33]   r m : on my system it is showing at bid
[14:34]   r m : sell i mean
[14:34]   Keshav : @rm ninjatrader??
[14:34]   B N : ok so mkt may go down from here now for the rest of the month
[14:34]   B N : we have made the series high?
[14:35]   r m : @Keshav, yeah, but ask/bid data is captured from NEST not really tick data
[14:35]   r m : @B N, your namesake is at ATH
[14:35]   r m : 🙂
[14:36]   B N : sir u have a whacky sense of humour with wryness and astutism blended in the concoction
[14:36]   r m : @B N, sir, you make me sound like banana shake 🙂
[14:37]   Keshav : when ever bn types something i keep a dictionary and start searching for meaning
[14:38]   r m : lol
[14:38]   Keshav : @rm that really sounds like banana shake . lol
[14:39]   r m : 😀
[14:39]   Amit J : shai close near days high?
[14:39]   Rav : Janak is not spotted for long
[14:42]   Shai : Amit may close here at vwap or 8455
[14:43]   Amit J : ok thanks
[14:43]   B N : shai sir outside chance of closing at day low 8288?
[14:45]   Shai : dhanbank 45.2 res in cash
[14:46]   Shai : can run up to 52 if crosses
[14:46]   Shai : 42.7 now supp
[14:46]   Shai : bit extended to make new buys now
[14:46]   Shai : BN Not today
[14:46]   Shai : 8370 support on spot
[14:55]   Keshav : @shai what does all the negative delta in nf mean??
[14:55]   Shai : Keshav see it as a long BNF short NF trade pair
[14:55]   Shai : anyone heard of a PM news conf at 7 pm today?
[14:56]   Keshav : nope
[14:56]   Shai : that’s what I told- if Modi wants to do a presser at 7 people will know at 3
[14:57]   Shai : seasonality wise we head into a tough 2 weeks for bulls from 5th Jan
[14:57]   Shai : that period is known to give bear swings : Jan 5 to Jan 20
[14:57]   RK : till budget session we will have many news on the air
[14:58]   Keshav : oh
[14:58]   Shai : true RK
[14:58]   r m : Amit Shah is holding a presser at 15:3
[14:58]   Shai : Bull markets are full of rumors 🙂
[14:58]   RK : hope that would be bearable- i mean bear swings as well as news swings 🙂
[14:58]   r m : Modi prefers twitter 🙂
[14:58]   Keshav : i never paid attention to fundamental that much
[14:58]   B N : but banknifty may just have a 500 pts gapup around 19700 and then 20k in a day or two
[14:59]   Keshav : i prefer to follow people on twitter too
[14:59]   RK : Keshav but mkts pay attention thats the problem with our positions
[15:01]   RK : we need zen attitude in bull market and samurai attitude it bear market
[15:02]   Keshav : @bn do you also trade crudeoil?
[15:07]   Keshav : i kind of have a feeling that bn is our latest janak
[15:07]   Rav : same here
[15:08]   RK : am still wondering since morning what made him to go with long position at 890 amid such low volumes this week? :))
[15:09]   Shai : big change in responsive buyers from vwap
[15:09]   Shai : net delta at 344K
[15:09]   r m : @RK, he is long since yesterday I think
[15:09]   Shai : looks like some intsitution got in
[15:10]   Keshav : oh nice
[15:10]   B N : rk sir – i kept my long position at 890 from wed
[15:10]   RK : yes RM yday was the lowest volume day in this week if am correct
[15:10]   B N : 1st / 2nd January – mkt always rises – so it is a safe trade
[15:10]   Shai : 8455F
[15:10]   RK : B N pls cut Sir part pls 🙂
[15:10]   Rav : IT Buying heavily
[15:11]   RK : thanks B N for announcing the logic 🙂
[15:11]   r m : but BN made many 40-50 points intraday trip, guess he made a big cushion for his longs yesterday 🙂
[15:11]   Keshav : @janak there??
[15:12]   r m : @RK, one of the interesting point about low volume is that it generates D shaped profiles which breaks out big!
[15:12]   Keshav : hmm
[15:12]   RK : agreed RM..low range also there paving way for quite a nice break-out..
[15:13]   RK : but sometimes it turnout to be two side sword..hits both boundaries to make you quit 🙂
[15:14]   Keshav : @rm i wonder if i have to take admission in the dehradun scalping school for such 40-50 points intraday picks
[15:14]   r m : yes, that happens most of the times RK 🙂
[15:14]   Shai : close not at day high but in the upper quarter
[15:14]   RK : thats the reason not entered into any trade this week 🙂
[15:15]   r m : @Keshav, only scalping school is run in Pondy 🙂
[15:15]   Shai : could be the weekend effect on low volume positions made during the week
[15:15]   RK : true Shai..all small players taking their new year gains happily home 🙂
[15:16]   r m : once above 18960, race to 23rd high was swift http://screencast.com/t/5JhmfbKlo4
[15:17]   RK : Yeah RM I was late today and when logged in I was welcomed with those steep step candles 🙂
[15:18]   r m : lol
[15:19]   Porus : Shai, is your view of 19344, 8510 for Monday still on?
[15:20]   Shai : yes
[15:20]   Shai : Mon could be a 2 sided day
[15:21]   Keshav : seems like
[15:26]   RK : on the trending days you can trust VWAP for positioning yourself..it helps better than brother
[15:27]   Keshav : then m nicknaming my brother as vwap
[15:29]   Shai : smart move in closing mins
[15:29]   Rav : 8400pe writing
[15:29]   Shai : NF fell short of the obj at 9498
[15:30]   Shai : 8498*
[15:30]   Shai : BNF did it at 19278
[15:30]   Shai : on a multi day tf there is some more room to move up
[15:30]   Shai : But MO at 65+ would sau no fresh longs early next week
[15:30]   r m : Thanks and bye folks, have a great weekend 🙂
[15:30]   Shai : Bye all
[15:31]   RK : thanks and bye all
[15:31]   Shai : Have a nice evening
[15:31]   r m : oops
[15:31]   Keshav : @shai how to read mo
[15:31]   Porus : bye all
[15:31]   Keshav : i am just seeing it as momentum indicator
[15:31]   Keshav : how values matter
[15:31]   Shai : Keshav it is excellent for assessing risk reward
[15:31]   Shai : see the chart posted by RM
[15:32]   Shai : avoid shorts below -65 and longs abv +65
[15:32]   Keshav : okay
[15:32]   Shai : it does not go beyond- 80 and +80
[15:32]   Keshav : oh oka
[15:32]   Shai : and can be used for couter trend trades wih a weekly outlook
[15:33]   Shai : MO was at -8 when NF was dipping at 7960
[15:33]   Keshav : if it goes over the 80 point mark?
[15:33]   Shai : -80**
[15:33]   Keshav : okay
[15:33]   Shai : then mkt may come off in a day or 2
[15:33]   Keshav : sounds interesting
[15:34]   Shai : Happy weekend everyone
[15:34]   Shai : catch up n Mon
[15:34]   Keshav : good day all